<p>11月CPI涨幅或创今年以来新低-财经频道-多赢财富</p>

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国家统计局将于下周公布11月主要经济数据。分析人士认为，由于食品价格回落以及翘尾因素影响的减弱，11
国家统计局将于下周公布11月主要经济数据。分析人士认为，由于食品价格回落以及翘尾因素影响的减弱，11月居民消费价格(CPI)同比涨幅可能回落至4.5%左右，创今年以来的新低。
国家统计局公布的50个城市食品价格数据显示，11月上、中旬，除牛羊肉和部分蔬菜品种外，食品价格总体继续回落，尤其是猪肉、鸡蛋价格降幅最为明显。根据商务部11月29日公布的数据，与9月中旬相比，猪肉价格累计下降幅度达10.7%；与两个月前相比，鸡蛋价格累计降幅为5%。
10月食品价格环比下跌0.2%，结束了此前连续4个月较快上涨的局面，成为当月CPI同比涨幅回落的重要原因。分析人士表示，11月食品环比价格很可能继续回落，非食品价格环比走势较难判断，但目前看，维持小幅上涨或持平的可能性较大。
与10月相比，翘尾因素对11月物价涨幅的影响减少1.1个百分点，这也将成为通胀水平回落的有利因素。只要11月CPI环比上涨不超过0.4%，当月CPI的同比涨幅就将低于年初的4.9%，创下今年以来新低。
申银万国首席宏观分析师李慧勇认为，11月我国经济和通胀水平将双双回落，预计CPI同比上涨4.4%，比上月回落1.1个百分点。工业品出厂价格(PPI)同比上涨3.4%，比上月回落1.6个百分点。长江证券发布的研究报告认为，11月CPI预计同比上涨4.6%，比10月明显回落。除食品价格继续回落外，生产资料价格总体也维持下降趋势，预计11月PPI同比上涨3.5%，回落幅度快于CPI.
国信证券发布的研究报告认为，11月食品价格环比降幅将达到1.2%，非食品价格环比持平，CPI同比涨幅可能降至3.8%白癜风什么症状图片至4.0%。

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